Russia's military power: What the Ukraine war has taught us
As far as
russia
's military
power
is concerned, this has been a very sobering experience for the russia
n army, what
the russia
ns have achieved so far is to conquer about two thirds of the donbass region, which they say is the most important thing for them , and set this. land bridge between donbass and crimea which was the territory that they illegally conquered and annexed in 2014 so they have taken around 20 of the ukrainian territory but remember that this war started with putin's intention to occupy all of ukraine
to kick out the government to install his own government and act effectively to absorb Ukraine
into a great Russia
that has utterly failed.![russia s military power what the ukraine war has taught us]()
They have advanced two thirds of the occupation of Donbass, but in other places it is not going very well and it seems that the
Russia
ns are going to be caught. winter with all his military
goals only partly achieved president putin has no military
experience he was a regional kgb officer in dresden just one small town which was his government function until he effectively became prime minister like all great dictators, he thinks he's some kind of military
genius and in fact i mean the military
decisions he's made or we know he's made broadly have proven to be disastrous again like all dictators people are afraid to tell him the truth and he was not told the truth we believe his military
chiefs gerasimov um by his intelligence chiefs before the war started and he seems to have had a very misleading understanding of what
the situation in ukraine
really was and how he has also tried to galvanize to their army, it seems that they have made the problem worse, although they have modern naval and air forces, their army is still relatively s in reform and has now gone into battle for It is the first time since 1945 that it has been shown how poor the running of big operations really is and that has been an eye opener not only to those of us in the west watching these things but also for individuals. mainly to the russia
n high command who thought they were much better than they turned out to be, the russia
ns called up troops from every other theater they have been involved in to send to the ukraine
and thus the russia
n forces opposing the baltic states estonia latvia lithuania they are thinner now than they have been for many years the russia
n borders are more open now than they have been for a long time because they have had to concentrate those competent and professional troops that they have in ukraine
what
the russia
ns are up against russia
ns is to a situation where if they get stuck in ukraine
for the next few years their army is too small to do the other jobs they are a major continental power
like russia
should have no less than they dont have many troops guarding the border with china and believe me that is a border that they are really worried about if they are worried about a homeland invasion they should look at the number of chinese troops.![russia s military power what the ukraine war has taught us]()
P.S. across the river usuri
ukraine
is fighting for its life so in principle ukraine
can hold out for a long time it is a big country the biggest country in europe besides russia
population 44 million people they say they can put a million people in arms and that's plausible they certainly think they can put 700,000 people around three quarters of a million under arms by this time next year that means they have a lot of ability to go on and hold on but they can only hang on and continue to fight if the West continues to back them with arms, support and money and that is the big problem if the west does not lose its nerve and if the west is prepared to endure real pain from here on out to support ukraine
then ukraine
can go on at least as long as russia
can and maybe more the current war i think it can end in some kind of ceasefire maybe next year maybe next year and so on anything but launching this venture we are preventing the russia
ns from getting anything from this venture anything less than that will be a win for putin and for sure if they get even a little bit of territory from ukraine
this time they will surely be back for more very soon there is a very good chance of for this to become an open war that will last 50 60 70 years, which means that it will not be a war all that time, it will be a fight in which Russia
refuses to recognize the right of Ukraine
to be an independent state and ukraine
you have to live with the reality that on your border there is a state a country ten times the size that actually wants to conquer you and what
I suspect will happen is that this fight will go through a series of intermittent conflicts so there will be a conflict there will be a halt the fire the ceasefire will hold for a few years and then it will break the conflict will break out again this is a fight that will continue in europe again and again from time to time p or two or three more generations and we have to prevail we have to protect ourselves protect our freedoms and learn to prevail in this conflict so that russia
, whoever the leaders are, in 20 30 40 years will get the message that western europe will fight back by itself democratic principles that![russia s military power what the ukraine war has taught us]()
