Will Scotland break away?
what it means to be scottish in the 21st century that question is pending in 2014
scotland held an independence referendum it did so with the explicit support of the british government, which passed a section 30 injunction giving provisional authority to the scottish parliament holding such a referendum was described by the then scottish government as a unique opportunity around 4.2 million scots, representing 85 per cent of the scottish population, cast their votes and rejected independence 55 to 45
scotland's future seemed decided in the union to become it would remain but the world has changed since brexit and both scottish and english nationalists are feeling revitalised, now lawmakers in edinburgh are pushing for a brand new referendum on independence.
A date has been set for October 2023, but many legal, economic and political issues remain unresolved Despite this, Scottish lawmakers feel confident enough to move forward. This is how Britain ends This is how
Scotland dissolves, redefining what it means to be Scottish. Today's video is sponsored by Ground News. A comparative news platform I use to get a full overview of issues like Scottish independence You've been following the Caspian Report for a while. You know I'm a supporter of the app and the website. I strongly encourage you to check them out as a resource at ground.news Caspian. let me give you a brief overview of the new mandate of
scotland independent referendum was widely shared 120 articles no less most of the sources were from uk and usa with bias distribution slightly to the left now media algorithms tend to be polarising Pushing content to generate clicks and most people unknowingly get stuck in their Corresponding information bubbles, but interestingly Canadian media is also following the Scottish process avidly.
Canada's Alberta region exhibits some Separatist tendencies and Scotla The future of nd is likely to shape regional politics in such places. The tools provided by Ground News allow me to easily see how the media is shaping the Scottish issue which gives me a more nuanced perspective on things Ground News is supported by their subscribers to stay up to date on topics from around the world go to ground.news caspian and subscribe for less than a dollar a month for unlimited access and support a small team of media outsiders working to make the news more transparent, the fact that
scotland and england is part the same state is remarkable considering that
scotland was a thorn in england's backside for centuries. england had the geopolitical imperative to unite the island of great britain and to that end conquered wales in the 13th century and scottish geography prevented england from dominating
scotland by force in the 14th century every scottish and french renewed Rulers loyal to what later came to be known as the ancient alliance, which balanced
Scotland's interests with France's, England's mortal enemy at the time in the 14th century, France funded the raising of Scottish armies to invade England three times in the 16th century The French Intervention saved
Scotland from the ravages of the English monarch Henry VIII.
Ultimately, England never succeeded in conquering
Scotland agreed to join the newly united Kingdom in 1707, not because of the geopolitical advantage of its southern neighbor but because of its own economic incompetence, as you can see at the end of the 17th century
Scotland started with the plan to establish a new colony on the isthmus of panama on the gulf of darien. It was an ambitious project, and the Isthmus of Panama proved to be one of the most important strategic areas in the world, but by the late 17th century
Scotland, let alone human civilization, did not have the engineering to support such wild nature conquer, the abject failure of the Darien enterprise sent the Scottish Lowlands into financial ruin, as between a quarter and a half of
Scotland's national wealth was pawned and lost in this single filled colonial initiative, Darien was not the only reason for acts of union, who declared that
scotland and england were to unite into a single kingdom from 1707 and forever, although there can be no doubt that the union of
scotland with england was an act of economic expediency, many scots abhorred the idea even then, leading to violent riots and mobs marked the lead z primordial union, nonetheless scottish leaders decided the union was in their best interest and economic priorities quickly advanced the day to 2016. the britain this time held a nationwide referendum to decide whether the country should stay in the union the european union was expected to stay but instead 52 of british voters opted to leave, there was just one minor issue the constituent states of the united kingdom did not agree on this critical issue. england and wales both voted to leave the european union by a 53 per cent majority, while northern ireland voted to remain in
scotland by a 56 per cent majority. pro-european sentiment was even stronger a notable 62 per cent of scots remained opposed, with 38 opting to go on holiday. this created two problems for the future of the united kingdom. the first was that it undermined the democratic legitimacy of the united kingdom. the fate of
scotland and northern ireland was decided against the
will of the people, but even more serious was that the economic logic of the uk was no longer a foregone conclusion for over three centuries
scotland benefited immeasurably from its union with england in the sense that
scotland came at just the right time when within 50 years of the acts of union the industrial entered into a union with england the revolution began in england, whose geographic location and access to coal and other critical resources gave it an early advantage within a century of the acts of union, france was experiencing a tremendous political revolution and witnessed the rise of napoleon whose eventual defeat of britain left britain unchallenged in europe for generations
scotland went from being a backward part of an isolated island to arguably a critical component of the u England was
Scotland the most powerful empire the world had ever seen from the union despite its occasional failings now, three centuries later, the benefits of the union's acts are not as evident as in the past.
This is not to disregard the immense economic value that the UK accounts for nearly two-thirds of scottish trade An economic study has found that independence would cost
Scotland between 6.3 and 8.7 per cent of its long-term per capita income and two to three times worse than Brexit for the Scottish economy, there are also deeply thorny issues to be resolved, such as what proportion of the UK national debt would
Scotland take on and whether
Scotland would stay in a monetary union and keep the pound and by how much percent of oil and gas wealth in the north sea
scotland could by any measure expect independence would be disastrous for the scottish economy, particularly in the short term, even the most fervent scottish nationalists admit after saying brexit is a disaster for them too the scottish economy, whose auswir effects are only now being felt and over which
scotland has no control, and the scottish government recently published a paper pitting the uk against its neighbors in europe, namely denmark, sweden, finland, norway, iceland, switzerland, austria, Belgium and the Netherlands, the UK has underperformed its European peers on almost every metric, whether GDP per capita Equality Poverty rates Social mobility Labor productivity Gross spending on R&D and more UK performs worst or almost at the worst of what Scottish leaders can do, arguing that in the long run the short-term pains of independence are worth not only the pride of national self-determination but also a better economic bet, whether the argument holds water only history
will tellsay, but the point is that
Scotland can now make that argument with a straight face.
It's not ridiculous to think that
Scotland's economic prospects are better as part of the $18 trillion eurozone than the $2.7 trillion Britain Polls show
Scotland is still undecided about its political future as support for independence has risen over the years slightly over 50 post brexit but recent polls from sources like the sunday times yougov ipsos murray and the scot all show that more scots prefer remaining in the union to independence, however these numbers are s somewhat misleading support for independence and for the ebb and flow of the union but remain in a relatively stable equilibrium, a sizeable number of Scottish voters, representing between the ages of 7 and 15 of the electorate, are undecided and here England for example seems to have been unable to help himself of late to trust said the right approach when dealing with Sc hottland insists on ignoring it and its attention-grabbing leader Nicola Sturgeon England mocks
Scotland at its peril Referendum to take place London's reluctance to authorize another referendum reveals a genuine fear that
Scotland could choose to leave, what not just for Emotional and visceral economic self-interest can temper such feelings.
But when a nation as proud and ancient as
Scotland feels that its identity and democratic agency are being trampled upon, the polls could shift unexpectedly and sharply , as they did when England surprisingly voted to leave the European Union, leading to the £2 trillion question of whether
Scotland can become independent or hold an independence referendum as its leaders have promised by next year that a Commons paper r, which examines this very subject, runs to no less than 99 pages and concludes that the question is uncertain. The UK Supreme Court must decide whether
Scotland's referendum falls within its jurisdiction As the UK Government is unlikely to issue another Section 30 order if the Supreme Court decides that
Scotland does not have that power, the Scottish National Party held an illegal Catalonia-style referendum in 2017, but it seems the SNP has already opted for another tactic, opting instead to fight the next UK general election as a de facto referendum on Scotti's independence all what is considered legalities are important but they are also subject to change the british irish union of 1800 was also supposed to last on paper forever only for the political situation to change and for ireland to regain independence a century later if a majority of scots want independence and d ies making it known whether through a legal referendum, an illegal referendum, an overwhelming majority for the SNP in the next UK general election, or a massive campaign of peaceful civil disobedience, they
will find legal justification to make this the most pressing issue is whether scottish national pride, fueled by anger at brexit english disdain and british economic weakness create the necessary basis for scots to demand their independence, despite the legal economic and political consequences of such a move the scottish national party is banking on the snp of course wrong was 2014 but the world has changed since then and England knows better than anyone how sudden nationalist sentiments can lead to previously unthinkable outcomes is the sole reason Britain is leaving the European Union and it would be ironic if that did too reason d afor would be UK political experiment ends after 315 years and I am your host shivan from caspian report Special thanks to Jacob Shapiro for researching and writing this article To learn more about Jacobs work and his platform visit Cognitive Investments www.cognitive.investments Anyway, thank you very much for your time and Saul